Liaoning vs Xinjiang prediction

CBA

Liaoning

123–116

Finished

Xinjiang

Outcome

61.5%

38.5%

Liaoning61.5%Xinjiang38.5%

Model confidenceLow

23.1/ 100

Expected points (home)

108

Expected points (away)

100.6

Expected total

208.6

Total points

Line	Over	Under	Source
203.5	59.0%	41.0%	Baseline
208.5	50.1%	49.9%	Baseline
213.5	41.1%	58.9%	Baseline

No draw market

Basketball plays overtime until someone wins. There were no ties in the 4,149 games this model learned from, so the two probabilities above sum to 100 on their own.