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SARDASPORTS publishes football predictions produced by a statistical engine, and grades every one of them against the final score, in public. The aim is a prediction site you can check, and we believe that makes it the best AI prediction site for football.
Picks graded
2,204
Of which live
389
Competitions
43
Countries
32
Most prediction sites show you their wins. This one is built around the opposite habit.
An Elo rating system, a Poisson goal model and a gradient-boosted classifier trained for each market each form their own view of a match. They are blended into one probability per outcome, and how closely they agree becomes the confidence score. The inputs are ratings, recent form, head-to-head history, and goal, corner and card rates, all computed only from what was known before kick-off.
The full explanation, including the markets and the grading rules, is on the how it works page.
The same engine also prices basketball and tennis, on their own pages for basketball and tennis. Basketball covers the NBA, the EuroLeague and dozens of other leagues around the world, women’s competitions included; tennis covers every ATP and WTA match. Their predictions are stored before the match and graded, and counted in a record of their own, kept apart from football’s because the two are different sports with different amounts of history behind them.
They are reported more cautiously than football, for honest reasons. The records are young, so the samples are small. Basketball history is loaded league by league within the data provider’s request limit and the latest full season is not yet available, so some ratings are months old and are marked as such. A side with too little history is not priced at all. And where a model adds nothing, as the tennis match-winner model currently does over simply picking the higher-rated player, the page says so.
Historical results come from the public football-data.co.uk datasets. Fixtures, prices and results are pulled in on a schedule from API-Football. Basketball results come from API-Basketball and tennis results from tennis-data.co.uk. SARDASPORTS does not own this data and does not claim to; the predictions, ratings and the graded record built from it are the site’s own work.
When a mistake is found in the record, it is fixed and listed here with what changed. To report one, use the contact page.
11 October 2026: corners and cards out, draw no bet in
Corners and cards are no longer offered as the best tip; they are still priced and listed on each match page. Draw no bet joined the markets a best tip can come from. A draw returns the stake on that pick, so it is neither a win nor a loss and is reported separately from the win rate, as an unrecorded statistic already was. On the graded predictions the same fixtures would have read 65.8% won with corners and cards removed and 72.7% of settled tips with draw no bet added, with 12.2% of tips refunded on a draw.
10 October 2026: how the best tip is chosen
Corners and cards were taking too many best tips, because each call was compared with how often its market lands across all leagues rather than in its own league, and the corner and card probabilities had run about five points high. Calls are now compared with their own competition’s rate, corners and cards must clear a higher bar to lead, and a competition that records no corners or cards gets no calls for them. The track record grades the same pick the boards now lead with, so the published rates fell: the reconstructed record from 76.2% to 68.6%, and the overall from 76.2% to 68.9%. The old figures were flattered by easy, high-probability lines.
7 October 2026: track-record headline picks
The track record chose each prediction’s headline pick by comparing probabilities that were stored on two different scales (match result and both-teams-to-score as fractions, every other market as percentages). Match-result picks could therefore never lead, so the record was grading different picks from the ones the match boards show. It now grades the same pick the boards lead with. The published rates changed: the live record went from 28 of 31 (90.3%) to 27 of 31 (87.1%), and the reconstructed record from 77.9% to 76.2%.
SARDASPORTS is for people aged 18 and over and is for information only. Football is unpredictable and no model changes that: a pick the engine rates at 70% is expected to lose three times in ten. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose, and do not use betting to try to recover losses.
If gambling is causing you or someone close to you harm, free, confidential help is available from BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.
SARDASPORTS is operated by AKOJEDE DAYO. The operator can be reached through the contact page. Questions about how personal data is handled are answered in the privacy policy.